Sport Picks
Nimes vs Frejus Saint Raphael Prediction & H2H Stats
France
National 1 - Group C Stade des Antonins, Nîmes 
Match Events
28'
28'
Bennour N.
45'
45'
Toure B.
73'
73'
Doucoure D.
AI Match Summary
Nimes in this National 1 - Group C matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nimes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
15%
24%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nimes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nimes lately — more wins on the board than Frejus Saint Raphael.
- Model gives Nimes a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular National 1 - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Nimes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nimes Clean Sheet 16%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nimes | Frejus Saint Raphael |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Nimes vs Frejus Saint Raphael
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Nimes
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Nimes vs Frejus Saint Raphael
3:0
Jan 13, 2012 Ligue 3
Nimes vs Frejus Saint Raphael
4:1
Aug 12, 2011 Ligue 3
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Nimes
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nimes Compare
Top Goalscorer Bennour N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Toure B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Frejus Saint Raphael Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nimes 41 / 100
Frejus Saint Raphael 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nimes Frejus Saint Raphael
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nimes has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Nimes found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).
Frejus Saint Raphael has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Nimes VS Frejus Saint Raphael
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nimes
(Home) 19 Sept
Hauts Lyonnais
1 : 3 Nimes
12 Sept
Nimes
4 : 0 Troyes II
05 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
0 : 1 Nimes
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0 Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Canet Roussillon
1 : 3 Nimes
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Nimes
4 : 0 Troyes II
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0 Frejus Saint Raphael
09 May
Nimes
3 : 0 Istres
25 Apr
Nimes
3 : 0 Cannes
11 Apr
Nimes
1 : 2 St. Maur Lusitanos
Page 1 of 3
Frejus Saint Raphael
(Away) 19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4 GOAL FC
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1 Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0 Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0 Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0 Saint Priest
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1 Frejus Saint Raphael
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0 Frejus Saint Raphael
09 May
FC Bobigny 93
1 : 0 Frejus Saint Raphael
18 Apr
Rumilly Vallieres
1 : 3 Frejus Saint Raphael
03 Apr
Istres
4 : 0 Frejus Saint Raphael
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nimes | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Hyeres | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Toulon | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 4 | Touraine | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 8 |
| 5 | Hauts Lyonnais | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 6 | Troyes II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 7 | Andrezieux | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 8 | Rumilly Vallieres | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:7 | 6 |
| 9 | GOAL FC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Frejus Saint Raphael | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 11 | Limonest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Saint Priest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 13 | Bourges 18 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 14 | Istres | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 15 | Lyon - La Duchere | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 16 | Chateauroux | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 17 | Canet Roussillon | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)
