Sport Picks

France

National 2 - Group C Stade des Antonins

St. Maur Lusitanos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nimes play St. Maur Lusitanos in the National 2 - Group C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nimes averaged 1.53 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. St. Maur Lusitanos averaged 1.55 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. In past meetings, Nimes won 0, St. Maur Lusitanos won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Nimes and 1.25 for St. Maur Lusitanos. This points to a St. Maur Lusitanos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Nimes

23%

Draws

39%

St. Maur Lusitanos

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: St. Maur Lusitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Nimes picked up more points recently compared to St. Maur Lusitanos.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Nimes Clean Sheet 19%

St. Maur Lusitanos Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nimes	St. Maur Lusitanos
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	18	16
Draws	5	9
Losses	7	6
Goals Scored	1.53	1.55
Goals Conceded	0.83	0.77
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 National 2 - Group C

Nimes vs St. Maur Lusitanos

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Nov 22, 2025 National 2 - Group C

St. Maur Lusitanos vs Nimes

Possession: 60% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nimes Compare

Top Goalscorer Loubacky E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

St. Maur Lusitanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Sambou M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Keita S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nimes 38 / 100

St. Maur Lusitanos 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nimes St. Maur Lusitanos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St. Maur Lusitanos or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nimes attacking → ← attacking St. Maur Lusitanos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nimes scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

St. Maur Lusitanos let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Nimes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

St. Maur Lusitanos lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 57

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cannes	30	17	9	4	53:30	60
2	Nimes	30	18	5	7	46:25	59
3	St. Maur Lusitanos	30	15	10	5	40:24	55
4	Rumilly Vallieres	30	13	8	9	49:36	47
5	Hyeres	30	11	12	7	36:27	45
6	Andrezieux	30	12	9	9	48:33	45
7	Istres	30	11	10	9	42:32	43
8	Creteil	30	12	7	11	36:34	43
9	GOAL FC	30	11	8	11	38:46	40
10	RC Grasse	30	9	9	12	41:42	36
11	Frejus Saint Raphael	30	9	8	13	37:50	35
12	Limonest	30	9	7	14	36:49	34
13	FC Bobigny 93	30	7	11	12	29:31	32
14	Toulon	30	8	10	12	38:47	31
15	Saint Priest	30	7	9	14	35:50	30
16	Rousset Ste Victoire	30	2	6	22	28:76	12