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Nimes vs Troyes II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C Stade des Antonins, Nîmes
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Match Events

40' Event
Doumbouya S.
50' Event
Tlili K.
51' Event
Toure B.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group C game between Nimes and Troyes II finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nimes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Nimes
30%
Draws
42%
Troyes II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Troyes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Nimes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nimes's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular National 1 - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Nimes Clean Sheet 20%
Troyes II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nimes Troyes II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.73 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Nimes vs Troyes II
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nimes Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbouya S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tlili K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Troyes II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nimes 40 / 100
Troyes II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nimes Troyes II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nimes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nimes found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Troyes II has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Nimes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nimes VS Troyes II
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nimes

(Home)
10 Nov
Nimes
3 : 0
Istres
06 Nov
Chateauroux
1 : 1
Nimes
31 Oct
Nimes
2 : 2
Limonest
17 Oct
Touraine
1 : 0
Nimes
03 Oct
Nimes
1 : 1
Hyeres
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Troyes II

(Away)
11 Nov
Frejus Saint Raphael
4 : 1
Troyes II
07 Nov
Troyes II
1 : 0
Canet Roussillon
31 Oct
Bourges 18
2 : 3
Troyes II
17 Oct
Troyes II
1 : 0
GOAL FC
03 Oct
Toulon
1 : 0
Troyes II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 Rumilly Vallieres 9 6 0 3 31:14 18
3 Toulon 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Frejus Saint Raphael 9 5 1 3 19:13 16
5 Hauts Lyonnais 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
6 Troyes II 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
7 Hyeres 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
8 Touraine 8 4 3 1 8:4 15
9 Andrezieux 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Saint Priest 10 2 5 3 12:17 11
11 GOAL FC 8 2 4 2 11:9 10
12 Limonest 9 1 5 3 10:14 8
13 Lyon - La Duchere 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
14 Bourges 18 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
15 Canet Roussillon 9 1 3 5 4:15 6
16 Istres 9 0 5 4 2:14 5
17 Chateauroux 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)