Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ninove vs Hasselt

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bounou M.
76' Event
Matarrese L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between Ninove and Hasselt finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ninove
15%
Draws
39%
Hasselt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ninove

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hasselt come out ahead of Ninove on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Ninove taking it.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hasselt have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ninove Clean Sheet 10%
Hasselt Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ninove Hasselt
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 1.31 2
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.07 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Ninove vs Hasselt
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Hasselt vs Ninove
4:1
Mar 15, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Ninove vs Hasselt
0:4
Oct 5, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Hasselt vs Ninove
1:0
May 11, 2024 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Hasselt vs Ninove
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ninove Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.54

Hasselt Compare

Top Goalscorer Bounou M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ninove 47 / 100
Hasselt 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ninove Hasselt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ninove Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ninove scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Hasselt conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Ninove went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ninove VS Hasselt
1.4 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ninove

(Home)
19 Sept
Ninove
4 : 2
Kalken
12 Sept
Oudenaarde
3 : 3
Ninove
05 Sept
Ninove
0 : 2
RFC Wetteren
30 Aug
Eendracht Aalst
3 : 0
Ninove
26 Apr
Ninove
3 : 1
Merelbeke
Page 1 of 6

Hasselt

(Away)
19 Sept
Hasselt
0 : 1
Beerschot VA
12 Sept
RFC Seraing
1 : 2
Hasselt
05 Sept
Genk U23
3 : 0
Hasselt
28 Aug
Hasselt
0 : 2
Gent U23
23 Aug
Francs Borains
0 : 1
Hasselt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
Promotion - Challenger Pro League (Main)