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Niroye Zamini vs Ario Eslamshahr

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Niroye Zamini play Ario Eslamshahr in the Azadegan League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Niroye Zamini averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1 conceded. Ario Eslamshahr averaged 0.48 goals scored and 0.45 conceded. In past meetings, Niroye Zamini won 0, Ario Eslamshahr won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 9, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for Niroye Zamini and 0.69 for Ario Eslamshahr. This points to a Ario Eslamshahr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Niroye Zamini
35%
Draws
38%
Ario Eslamshahr
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Niroye Zamini picked up more points recently compared to Ario Eslamshahr.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.56 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 11%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23%
Niroye Zamini Clean Sheet 28%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 32%
Second Half Goal 33%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niroye Zamini Ario Eslamshahr
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 11 14
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.93 0.48
Goals Conceded 1 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Azadegan League
Niroye Zamini vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Niroye Zamini
1:0
Mar 4, 2025 Azadegan League
Niroye Zamini vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:1
Oct 16, 2024 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Niroye Zamini
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niroye Zamini 30 / 100
Ario Eslamshahr 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niroye Zamini Ario Eslamshahr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ario Eslamshahr or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +49.9%
8.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Niroye Zamini attacking → ← attacking Ario Eslamshahr

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Niroye Zamini scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Ario Eslamshahr let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.75 goals.

Niroye Zamini went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ario Eslamshahr lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 35
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mazandaran32199446:1566
2Mes Shahr Babak321810439:1464
3Pars Janoobi Jam321412638:2154
4Sanat Naft321412634:2154
5Saipa321411727:1853
6Havadar SC321116530:1849
7Fard321015724:1445
8Naft Bandar Abbas32917623:1844
9Mes Kerman32915820:1742
10Ario Eslamshahr32815916:1639
11Besat Kermanshah329111224:2738
12Niroye Zamini328111327:2835
13Naft Gachsaran327131223:3734
14Kara Gostar Shabestar32891516:3433
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm327101519:3531
16Shahrdari Noshahr325141317:2729
17Navad Urmia324121616:4324
18Damash Gilan322121816:5218