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Nissa vs Trapani

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Alagna F.
76' Event
Di Grazia A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I game between Nissa and Trapani finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Nissa
30%
Draws
6%
Trapani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nissa come out ahead of Trapani on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Nissa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Nissa Clean Sheet 68%
Trapani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nissa Trapani
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 1.77 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs Trapani
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Alagna F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Di Grazia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Trapani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nissa 95 / 100
Trapani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nissa Trapani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nissa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nissa scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Trapani conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Nissa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Nissa VS Trapani
2 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nissa

(Home)
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
06 Sept
Nissa
3 : 1
Lamezia
17 May
Nissa
0 : 0
Reggina
10 May
Nissa
4 : 0
Gelbison
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Trapani

(Away)
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
13 Sept
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
Trapani
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
26 Apr
Trapani
2 : 2
Siracusa
19 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Trapani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 4 4 0 0 13:0 12
2 Igea Virtus 4 3 1 0 13:8 10
3 Sambiase 4 3 1 0 5:2 10
4 Vibonese 4 2 1 1 11:5 7
5 Nissa 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
6 Digiesse PraiaTortora 4 1 3 0 7:2 6
7 Milazzo 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
8 Calcio Avola 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
9 Licata 4 1 2 1 3:7 5
10 Castrumfavara 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
11 ASD Modica Calcio 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
12 Athletic Palermo 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Gela 4 1 1 2 4:5 3
14 USD Ragusa 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
15 Lamezia 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
16 Siracusa 4 2 2 0 7:4 1
17 Enna 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
18 Trapani 4 0 0 4 1:10 -5
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)