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Nita FA W vs Garhwal United W

India India

IWL Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nita FA W play Garhwal United W in the IWL Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nita FA W averaged 1.61 goals scored and 2 conceded. Garhwal United W averaged 1.14 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Nita FA W won 1, Garhwal United W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Nita FA W and 1.50 for Garhwal United W. This points to a Nita FA W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Nita FA W
24%
Draws
32%
Garhwal United W
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Nita FA W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Nita FA W picked up more points recently compared to Garhwal United W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Nita FA W Clean Sheet 16%
Garhwal United W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nita FA W Garhwal United W
Matches Played 28 14
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.61 1.14
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 IWL Women
Nita FA W vs Garhwal United W
0:0
Dec 30, 2025 IWL Women
Garhwal United W vs Nita FA W
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nita FA W 43 / 100
Garhwal United W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nita FA W Garhwal United W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nita FA W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nita FA W attacking → ← attacking Garhwal United W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nita FA W scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Garhwal United W let in goals in 86% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Nita FA W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Garhwal United W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 15
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1East Bengal W14130147:539
2Sethu W1474326:1425
3Kickstart W1463517:2121
4Nita FA W1455426:2320
5Gokulam Kerala W1446416:1618
6Garhwal United W1443716:2815
7Sreebhumi W1434724:2613
8Sesa FA W1403119:483