Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Niteroiense vs 7 de Abril

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Thawan
48' Event
Sassa

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca B2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Niteroiense
28%
Draws
22%
7 de Abril
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Niteroiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Niteroiense have won more games recently than 7 de Abril.
  • Niteroiense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 14%
7 de Abril Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niteroiense 7 de Abril
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 15 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2024 Carioca B2
Niteroiense vs 7 de Abril
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niteroiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Sassa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

7 de Abril Compare

Top Goalscorer Thawan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niteroiense 48 / 100
7 de Abril 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niteroiense 7 de Abril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Niteroiense's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

7 de Abril has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Niteroiense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Niteroiense VS 7 de Abril
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Niteroiense

(Home)
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
05 Nov
Niteroiense
0 : 0
Duque de Caxias
01 Nov
Friburguense
0 : 1
Niteroiense
24 Oct
Campo Grande
1 : 1
Niteroiense
18 Oct
Niteroiense
2 : 3
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 6

7 de Abril

(Away)
09 Nov
Macae
2 : 0
7 de Abril
06 Nov
7 de Abril
6 : 2
FC Rio de Janeiro
02 Nov
Goytacaz
2 : 1
7 de Abril
27 Oct
7 de Abril
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
20 Oct
Paraty
1 : 1
7 de Abril
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Campo Grande1182123:626
2Bonsucesso1164120:522
3Niteroiense1163219:1221
4AA Carapebus1162323:1120
5Serra Macaense1145210:717
6Zinza1144313:816
7Barra Mansa1143412:1015
8Uni Souza1143413:1815
97 de Abril1124512:1310
10FC Rio de Janeiro1122712:238
11Mageense1120911:306
12Rio Sao Paulo112098:336
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)