Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Niteroiense vs Campos AA

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Jhow Jhow
90' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Niteroiense
35%
Draws
25%
Campos AA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Niteroiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Campos AA haven't matched Niteroiense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Niteroiense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Niteroiense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Niteroiense, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Niteroiense have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 68%
Campos AA Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niteroiense Campos AA
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 17 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.7 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2024 Carioca C
Niteroiense vs Campos AA
1:1
Jul 15, 2024 Carioca C
Campos AA vs Niteroiense
0:2
May 19, 2024 Carioca C
Niteroiense vs Campos AA
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niteroiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhow Jhow
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Campos AA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niteroiense 95 / 100
Campos AA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niteroiense Campos AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niteroiense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Niteroiense scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Campos AA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Niteroiense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Niteroiense VS Campos AA
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Niteroiense

(Home)
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
05 Nov
Niteroiense
0 : 0
Duque de Caxias
01 Nov
Friburguense
0 : 1
Niteroiense
24 Oct
Campo Grande
1 : 1
Niteroiense
18 Oct
Niteroiense
2 : 3
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 7

Campos AA

(Away)
31 Aug
Barra Mansa
2 : 2
Campos AA
23 Jul
Campos AA
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
19 Jul
Cardoso Moreira
4 : 1
Campos AA
12 Jul
Tigres Brasil
0 : 0
Campos AA
06 Jul
Campos AA
3 : 2
Tigres Brasil
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Campos AA 1
Niteroiense 3
Uni Souza 2
EC Vera Cruz 1
Final
Niteroiense 3
Uni Souza 2