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Niteroiense vs Nova Cidade

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Niteroiense host Nova Cidade in the Carioca B1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Niteroiense at 1.59 goals for, 1.21 against; Nova Cidade at 0.93 for, 1.24 against. Head-to-head, Niteroiense have won 0 to Nova Cidade's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.06, favoring Niteroiense. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Niteroiense
35%
Draws
27%
Nova Cidade
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Niteroiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Niteroiense lately — more wins on the board than Nova Cidade.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Niteroiense taking it.
  • Regular Carioca B1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Cidade Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niteroiense Nova Cidade
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.59 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Carioca B1
Nova Cidade vs Niteroiense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niteroiense 85 / 100
Nova Cidade 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niteroiense Nova Cidade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niteroiense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Niteroiense scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Niteroiense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Nova Cidade let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Niteroiense VS Nova Cidade
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Niteroiense

(Home)
12 Sept
Goncalense
1 : 1
Niteroiense
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
05 Nov
Niteroiense
0 : 0
Duque de Caxias
01 Nov
Friburguense
0 : 1
Niteroiense
Page 1 of 6

Nova Cidade

(Away)
12 Sept
Nova Cidade
2 : 2
Sao Cristovao
05 Sept
Duque de Caxias
3 : 0
Nova Cidade
08 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Friburguense
05 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Campo Grande
01 Nov
Duque de Caxias
2 : 2
Nova Cidade
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duque de Caxias 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Artsul 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
3 Niteroiense 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Goytacaz 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Macae 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
6 Campo Grande 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
7 Sao Cristovao 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
8 Goncalense 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
9 Serrano FC 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
10 Nova Cidade 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
11 AA Carapebus 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
12 Audax RJ 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)