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Niteroiense vs Sao Cristovao

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
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Match Events

60' Event
Cafu

AI Match Summary

Niteroiense in this Carioca B1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Niteroiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Niteroiense
6%
Draws
4%
Sao Cristovao
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Niteroiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Niteroiense lately — more wins on the board than Sao Cristovao.
  • Win probability leans Niteroiense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Cristovao Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niteroiense Sao Cristovao
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 15 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Carioca B1
Niteroiense vs Sao Cristovao
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niteroiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Cafu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sao Cristovao Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niteroiense 95 / 100
Sao Cristovao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niteroiense Sao Cristovao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Niteroiense scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Sao Cristovao has conceded goals in 61% of their last 23 outings.

Solid form: Niteroiense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Sao Cristovao's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Niteroiense VS Sao Cristovao
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Niteroiense

(Home)
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
05 Nov
Niteroiense
0 : 0
Duque de Caxias
01 Nov
Friburguense
0 : 1
Niteroiense
24 Oct
Campo Grande
1 : 1
Niteroiense
18 Oct
Niteroiense
2 : 3
Bonsucesso
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Sao Cristovao

(Away)
08 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
2 : 1
Sao Cristovao
17 Jun
Sao Cristovao
0 : 0
CEAC/Araruama
22 Nov
Sao Cristovao
0 : 1
Serrano FC
15 Nov
Serrano FC
1 : 0
Sao Cristovao
08 Nov
Artsul
1 : 1
Sao Cristovao
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bonsucesso1164114:722
2Sao Cristovao1154214:819
3Serrano FC1153314:1118
4Duque de Caxias1153310:918
5Niteroiense1144316:1416
6Goncalense1151511:916
7Nova Cidade114439:916
8Campo Grande113629:815
9Artsul1134411:1013
10AA Carapebus113356:1312
11Paduano EC1131712:1810
12Friburguense111193:134
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)