Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nitra vs Gbely

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - West 2025/2026 Štadión Pod Zoborom, Nitra
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - West 2025/2026 game between Nitra and Gbely finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nitra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Nitra
15%
Draws
14%
Gbely
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nitra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nitra come out ahead of Gbely on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nitra a 71% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 4. liga - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Nitra Clean Sheet 20%
Gbely Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nitra Gbely
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 27 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 2 19
Goals Scored 2.56 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.66 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 4. liga - West
Nitra vs Gbely
4:0
Oct 25, 2025 4. liga - West
Gbely vs Nitra
0:3
Apr 13, 2025 4. liga - West
Gbely vs Nitra
0:4
Sep 7, 2024 4. liga - West
Nitra vs Gbely
3:3
Jun 2, 2024 4. liga - West
Nitra vs Gbely
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nitra 85 / 100
Gbely 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nitra Gbely

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nitra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nitra found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Gbely conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Nitra remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nitra VS Gbely
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nitra

(Home)
06 Sept
Velke Ludince
0 : 5
Nitra
29 Aug
Nitra
2 : 0
Banik Prievidza
23 Aug
Myjava
1 : 5
Nitra
19 Aug
Nitra-Dolne Krskany
0 : 2
Nitra
15 Aug
Nitra
3 : 2
Castkovce
Page 1 of 7

Gbely

(Away)
05 Sept
Kanianka
3 : 1
Gbely
29 Aug
Gbely
0 : 3
Trebatice
23 Aug
Stankovce
2 : 1
Gbely
15 Aug
Gbely
2 : 0
FC Topolcany
08 Aug
Piestany
4 : 1
Gbely
Page 1 of 6