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Nitra vs Velky Lapas

Slovakia Slovakia

2. liga 2004/2005 Štadión Pod Zoborom
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nitra play Velky Lapas in the 2. liga 2004/2005. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nitra averaged 2.45 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. Velky Lapas averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Nitra won 2, Velky Lapas won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 13, 2019 ended 2:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Nitra and 0.88 for Velky Lapas. This points to a Nitra double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nitra
26%
Draws
27%
Velky Lapas
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Nitra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Nitra picked up more points recently compared to Velky Lapas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Nitra Clean Sheet 25%
Velky Lapas Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nitra Velky Lapas
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 30 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.45 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2019 Slovak Cup
Velky Lapas vs Nitra
2:7
Jun 14, 2005 2. liga
Nitra vs Velky Lapas
1:0
Nov 13, 2004 2. liga
Velky Lapas vs Nitra
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nitra 47 / 100
Velky Lapas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nitra Velky Lapas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nitra or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nitra attacking → ← attacking Velky Lapas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nitra scored in 88% of their last 40 games.

Velky Lapas let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Nitra went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Velky Lapas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

96 Points in last 5 47
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nitra30216359:1669
2FC Licartovce30186666:2660
3Slovan Bratislava30148837:2450
4Michalovce301451144:3547
5Presov301281038:3344
6Sala301271134:3243
7Velky Lapas301012841:3442
8Dun. Streda301261233:4542
9Podbrezova301181128:2241
10FC Senec301181140:3741
11Druzstevnik Bac301181138:4341
12Z. Moravce-Vrable309101132:3737
13Ruzinov Bratislava30791437:5030
14Trebisov30851728:5029
15Banik Prievidza30781526:5729
16SK Kremnicka30522325:6517