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Niva Dolbizno vs BumProm Gomel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga City Stadium, Dolbizno
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Galuza D.
Assist: Pampukha P.
20' Event
Gordeychuk M.
(Penalty)
25' Event
Sidorenko K.
Assist: Makushinsky Y.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between Niva Dolbizno and BumProm Gomel finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Niva Dolbizno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Niva Dolbizno
20%
Draws
33%
BumProm Gomel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Niva Dolbizno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • BumProm Gomel haven't matched Niva Dolbizno's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Niva Dolbizno taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Niva Dolbizno Clean Sheet 13%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niva Dolbizno BumProm Gomel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.52 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs BumProm Gomel
2:1
May 17, 2026 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Niva Dolbizno
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs BumProm Gomel
2:2
Jul 26, 2025 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Niva Dolbizno
4:1
Sep 8, 2024 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Niva Dolbizno
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niva Dolbizno Compare

Top Goalscorer Galuza D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

BumProm Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidorenko K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niva Dolbizno 39 / 100
BumProm Gomel 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niva Dolbizno BumProm Gomel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niva Dolbizno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Niva Dolbizno found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: BumProm Gomel conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Niva Dolbizno has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Niva Dolbizno VS BumProm Gomel
3.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Niva Dolbizno

(Home)
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
26 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
4 : 0
Volna Pinsk
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1
BumProm Gomel
04 Sept
FC Minsk 2
3 : 4
Niva Dolbizno
Page 1 of 6

BumProm Gomel

(Away)
04 Oct
BumProm Gomel
2 : 1
FC Minsk 2
27 Sept
Osipovichi
3 : 3
BumProm Gomel
19 Sept
BumProm Gomel
4 : 0
FK Lida
13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1
BumProm Gomel
05 Sept
BumProm Gomel
1 : 2
SKA-1938 Minsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 27 17 6 4 56:28 57
2 SKA-1938 Minsk 28 17 5 6 61:32 56
3 Niva Dolbizno 27 17 4 6 67:31 55
4 FK Lida 27 17 3 7 51:43 54
5 FC Slonim 27 14 5 8 49:32 47
6 Molodechno 27 14 3 10 46:45 45
7 BumProm Gomel 27 12 5 10 52:41 41
8 Soligorsk 27 11 7 9 52:44 40
9 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
10 Ostrovets 27 8 11 8 37:39 35
11 Volna Pinsk 27 10 4 13 40:50 34
12 Smorgon 27 9 6 12 33:36 33
13 FC Minsk 2 27 9 3 15 37:50 30
14 Orsha 27 7 6 14 28:51 27
15 Uni X Labs 26 6 8 12 25:35 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 27 5 6 16 36:55 21
18 Osipovichi 27 5 4 18 29:67 19
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
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