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Stadium Background

Niva Dolbizno vs Smorgon

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga City Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Fazylov A.
32'
Dukso M.
35'
Dybin V.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between Niva Dolbizno and Smorgon finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Niva Dolbizno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Niva Dolbizno
6%
Draws
4%
Smorgon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Niva Dolbizno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Niva Dolbizno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Niva Dolbizno taking it.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Niva Dolbizno Clean Sheet 11%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niva Dolbizno Smorgon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.88 2.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs Smorgon
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niva Dolbizno Compare

Top Goalscorer Fedortsov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Voronovich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Smorgon Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niva Dolbizno 83 / 100
Smorgon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niva Dolbizno Smorgon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Niva Dolbizno found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Smorgon let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Niva Dolbizno stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Niva Dolbizno VS Smorgon
2.88 Goals Scored 2.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slutsk15112232:1635
2SKA-1938 Minsk15104137:1634
3FK Lida1583427:2327
4FC Slonim1583428:1727
5Niva Dolbizno1583435:1827
6Soligorsk1574433:2025
7BumProm Gomel1573530:2124
8Din. Minsk 21473429:2024
9Volna Pinsk1572625:2523
10Molodechno1561821:3119
11FC Gomel 21545623:2117
12FC Minsk 21551918:3116
13Orsha1443715:2515
14Ostrovets1529418:2115
15Uni X Labs1543813:2415
16Smorgon1535718:2414
17BATE 21525820:3711
18Osipovichi15111315:474