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Njardvik vs Afrika Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Njardvik play Afrika Reykjavik in the Icelandic Cup 2015. Njardvik are favorites here. Recently, Njardvik averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Afrika Reykjavik averaged 0.63 goals scored and 8.75 conceded. In past meetings, Njardvik won 1, Afrika Reykjavik won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2015 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.25 for Njardvik and 1.19 for Afrika Reykjavik. This points to a Njardvik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Njardvik
15%
Draws
12%
Afrika Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Njardvik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Njardvik picked up more points recently compared to Afrika Reykjavik.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.25 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Njardvik Clean Sheet 20%
Afrika Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Njardvik Afrika Reykjavik
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 16 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 8.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2015 Icelandic Cup
Njardvik vs Afrika Reykjavik
8:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Njardvik 70 / 100
Afrika Reykjavik 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Njardvik Afrika Reykjavik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Njardvik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Njardvik & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.4%
1.54
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Njardvik attacking → ← attacking Afrika Reykjavik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Njardvik scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Afrika Reykjavik let in goals in 100% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Njardvik went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Afrika Reykjavik lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 3
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.00