Sport Picks

Finland

Suomen Cup 2014

Tuusulan Palloseura

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

NJS play Tuusulan Palloseura in the Suomen Cup 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, NJS averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Tuusulan Palloseura averaged 1.9 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. In past meetings, NJS won 1, Tuusulan Palloseura won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 5, 2014 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for NJS and 1.94 for Tuusulan Palloseura. This points to a Tuusulan Palloseura double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

NJS

15%

Draws

46%

Tuusulan Palloseura

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tuusulan Palloseura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

NJS picked up more points recently compared to Tuusulan Palloseura.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 73%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

NJS Clean Sheet 10%

Tuusulan Palloseura Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	NJS	Tuusulan Palloseura
Matches Played	30	10
Wins	6	4
Draws	6	0
Losses	18	6
Goals Scored	1.47	1.9
Goals Conceded	2.37	2.7
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.88	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2014 Suomen Cup

NJS vs Tuusulan Palloseura

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NJS 37 / 100

Tuusulan Palloseura 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

NJS Tuusulan Palloseura

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tuusulan Palloseura or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.49

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

NJS attacking → ← attacking Tuusulan Palloseura

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NJS scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Tuusulan Palloseura let in goals in 80% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

NJS went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tuusulan Palloseura lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 12

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00