Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NK Libertas Novska vs HNK Gorica

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kovacevic I.
42' Event
Erceg A.
68' Event
Cuic F.

AI Match Summary

NK Libertas Novska play HNK Gorica in the Croatian Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, NK Libertas Novska averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. HNK Gorica averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, NK Libertas Novska won 0, HNK Gorica won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 10, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for NK Libertas Novska and 1.49 for HNK Gorica. This points to a HNK Gorica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
NK Libertas Novska
6%
Draws
90%
HNK Gorica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: HNK Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • HNK Gorica has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to NK Libertas Novska.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for HNK Gorica.
  • Cup tournament structure in Croatian Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
NK Libertas Novska Clean Sheet 16%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Libertas Novska HNK Gorica
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 0 6
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Croatian Cup
NK Libertas Novska vs HNK Gorica
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NK Libertas Novska Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovacevic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

HNK Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Erceg A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cuic F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Libertas Novska 10 / 100
HNK Gorica 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Libertas Novska HNK Gorica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NK Libertas Novska scored in 80% of their last 10 games.

HNK Gorica let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

NK Libertas Novska went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

HNK Gorica lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS HNK Gorica
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Radnik Krizevci5
Drnis0
TBD-
Mladost Zdralovi-
Maksimir3
Jadran Porec2
TBD-
Rijeka-
Nehaj Senj1
Vukovar 19912
TBD-
Cibalia-
NK Koprivnica1
NK Pitomaca0
TBD-
Hajduk Split-
Slavonija Pozega1
Marsonia0
TBD-
Bijelo Brdo-
NK Radnicki Dalj0
Granicar Kotoriba2
TBD-
Slaven Belupo-
Jedinstvo (DM)0
Dugo Selo3
TBD-
Lok. Zagreb-
Varteks Varazdin (2011)3
Moslavina0
TBD-
Sibenik-
Spansko0
Gaj Mace1
TBD-
Varazdin-
Uljanik Pula2
Bjelovar0
TBD-
Osijek-
Belica1
Solin4
TBD-
Rudes-
NK Libertas Novska2
Opatija1
TBD-
HNK Gorica-
Bednja Beletinec1
Karlovac4
TBD-
Belisce-
Bedem Ivankovo3
NK Dinamo Predavac5
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Zemunik2
Kurilovec12
TBD-
Oriolik-
Neretva6
Zadrugar Oprisavci2
TBD-
Istra 1961-
1/16-finals
Radnik Krizevci0
Mladost Zdralovi1
Maksimir0
Rijeka4
Vukovar 19910
Cibalia1
NK Koprivnica1
Hajduk Split4
Slavonija Pozega0
Bijelo Brdo2
Granicar Kotoriba0
Slaven Belupo5
Dugo Selo0
Lok. Zagreb4
Varteks Varazdin (2011)4
Sibenik1
Gaj Mace1
Varazdin7
Uljanik Pula0
Osijek4
Solin1
Rudes2
NK Libertas Novska1
HNK Gorica3
Karlovac5
Belisce0
NK Dinamo Predavac0
Din. Zagreb6
Kurilovec5
Oriolik0
Neretva1
Istra 19612
1/8-finals
Mladost Zdralovi1
Rijeka4
Cibalia0
Hajduk Split1
Bijelo Brdo0
Slaven Belupo3
Lok. Zagreb4
Varteks Varazdin (2011)0
Varazdin2
Osijek1
Rudes0
HNK Gorica6
Karlovac0
Din. Zagreb7
Kurilovec2
Istra 19611
Quarter-finals
Rijeka3
Hajduk Split2
Slaven Belupo2
Lok. Zagreb1
Varazdin1
HNK Gorica3
Din. Zagreb2
Kurilovec0
Semi-finals
Rijeka2
Slaven Belupo0
HNK Gorica3
Din. Zagreb6
Final
Rijeka0
Din. Zagreb2