Sport Picks

Croatia

Croatian Cup 2022/2023

Slaven Belupo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

NK Nedelisce play Slaven Belupo in the Croatian Cup 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, NK Nedelisce averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.64 conceded. Slaven Belupo averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, NK Nedelisce won 0, Slaven Belupo won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 2, 2022 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for NK Nedelisce and 1.05 for Slaven Belupo. This points to a Slaven Belupo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

NK Nedelisce

19%

Draws

45%

Slaven Belupo

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Slaven Belupo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

NK Nedelisce picked up more points recently compared to Slaven Belupo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

NK Nedelisce Clean Sheet 22%

Slaven Belupo Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	NK Nedelisce	Slaven Belupo
Matches Played	14	29
Wins	5	8
Draws	0	8
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	1.5	1.52
Goals Conceded	2.64	1.69

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2022 Croatian Cup

NK Nedelisce vs Slaven Belupo

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NK Nedelisce Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Slaven Belupo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bransteter L.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Mioc B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Nedelisce 37 / 100

Slaven Belupo 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

NK Nedelisce Slaven Belupo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Slaven Belupo or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

NK Nedelisce attacking → ← attacking Slaven Belupo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NK Nedelisce scored in 64% of their last 14 games.

Slaven Belupo let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

NK Nedelisce went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Slaven Belupo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 32

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63