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NK Novalja vs Naftas Ivanic

Croatia Croatia

2. HNL 2005/2006
NK Novalja Logo

NK Novalja

3 - 0
FT
Naftas Ivanic Logo

Naftas Ivanic

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2. HNL 2005/2006 game between NK Novalja and Naftas Ivanic finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NK Novalja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
NK Novalja
15%
Draws
42%
Naftas Ivanic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NK Novalja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Naftas Ivanic haven't matched NK Novalja's recent run of results.
  • Model gives NK Novalja a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. HNL 2005/2006 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
NK Novalja Clean Sheet 17%
Naftas Ivanic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Novalja Naftas Ivanic
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.3 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2006 Prva NL
NK Novalja vs Naftas Ivanic
3:0
Mar 26, 2006 Prva NL
Naftas Ivanic vs NK Novalja
2:4
Oct 16, 2005 Prva NL
Naftas Ivanic vs NK Novalja
1:0
Aug 21, 2005 Prva NL
NK Novalja vs Naftas Ivanic
1:1
Oct 27, 2004 Prva NL
Naftas Ivanic vs NK Novalja
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Novalja 57 / 100
Naftas Ivanic 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Novalja Naftas Ivanic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Novalja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naftas Ivanic let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

NK Novalja scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Naftas Ivanic has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

NK Novalja VS Naftas Ivanic
1 Goals Scored 1.17
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.83
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Novalja

(Home)
28 Aug
Novigrad Podravski
3 : 0
NK Novalja
26 Sept
NK Novalja
0 : 1
Osijek
29 Aug
NK Novalja
3 : 1
Zagorec Krapina
24 Aug
Mladost Petrinja
3 : 1
NK Novalja
25 Aug
Nosteria
3 : 2
NK Novalja
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Naftas Ivanic

(Away)
08 Aug
Granicar Djurdjevac
0 : 3
Naftas Ivanic
13 May
Naftas Ivanic
1 : 3
Croatia Sesvete
06 May
Imotski
2 : 1
Naftas Ivanic
29 Apr
Naftas Ivanic
1 : 4
NK Pomorac
23 Apr
NK Novalja
3 : 0
Naftas Ivanic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belisce 32 18 7 7 52:27 61
2 Graficar Vodovod 32 15 9 8 57:39 54
3 Metalac Osijek 32 14 10 8 46:26 52
4 NK Koprivnica 32 14 8 10 45:36 50
5 Bjelovar 32 14 6 12 39:39 48
6 Vukovar 1991 32 13 5 14 41:32 44
Promotion - 1. HNL 2006/2007 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sibenik 31 21 5 5 70:37 68
2 Croatia Sesvete 32 18 5 9 61:42 59
3 NK Pomorac 31 15 12 4 64:30 57
4 NK Novalja 32 13 6 13 49:44 45
5 Imotski 32 10 10 12 36:43 40
6 Naftas Ivanic 31 8 7 16 35:59 31
Promotion - 1. HNL 2006/2007 (Main)