Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
NK Novalja in this 2. HNL 2005/2006 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored NK Novalja.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Segesta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Segesta have won more games recently than NK Novalja.
- Model gives Segesta a 65% chance of winning this.
- Regular 2. HNL 2005/2006 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
NK Novalja Clean Sheet 10%
Segesta Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | NK Novalja | Segesta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 10 | 22 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 2.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 5, 2006 Prva NL
NK Novalja vs Segesta
1:0
Oct 1, 2005 Prva NL
Segesta vs NK Novalja
1:1
Apr 27, 2005 Prva NL
Segesta vs NK Novalja
1:1
Apr 3, 2005 Prva NL
NK Novalja vs Segesta
1:1
Nov 20, 2004 Prva NL
Segesta vs NK Novalja
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
NK Novalja 10 / 100
Segesta 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
NK Novalja Segesta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Segesta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
NK Novalja scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Segesta conceded in 66% of 35 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
NK Novalja went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Segesta
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
NK Novalja
(Home) 28 Aug
Novigrad Podravski
3 : 0 NK Novalja
26 Sept
NK Novalja
0 : 1 Osijek
29 Aug
NK Novalja
3 : 1 Zagorec Krapina
24 Aug
Mladost Petrinja
3 : 1 NK Novalja
25 Aug
Nosteria
3 : 2 NK Novalja
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
NK Novalja
0 : 1 Osijek
29 Aug
NK Novalja
3 : 1 Zagorec Krapina
27 Aug
NK Novalja
0 : 1 Metalac Sisak
20 Sept
NK Novalja
0 : 4 NK Zagreb
06 May
NK Novalja
0 : 1 Sibenik
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Segesta
(Away) 27 Sept
Segesta
1 : 1 Karlovac
18 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 3 Segesta
12 Sept
Segesta
2 : 1 Dugopolje
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1 Osijek
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0 Segesta
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 3 Segesta
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0 Segesta
28 Aug
Vukovar 1991
2 : 0 Segesta
25 Aug
Slatina
0 : 18 Segesta
01 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1 Segesta
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belisce | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 41:14 | 48 |
| 2 | Graficar Vodovod | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 38:21 | 39 |
| 3 | Bjelovar | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 25:26 | 37 |
| 4 | Vukovar 1991 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 36:21 | 35 |
| 5 | NK Koprivnica | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 34:23 | 35 |
| 6 | Metalac Osijek | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 28:16 | 33 |
| 7 | Marsonia | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25:30 | 31 |
| 8 | NK Cakovec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 33:40 | 28 |
| 9 | Granicar Zupanja | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 28:28 | 25 |
| 10 | Dilj | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Slavonija Pozega | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 30:42 | 22 |
| 12 | Mladost Molve | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 23:64 | 9 |
Promotion - 2. HNL 2005/2006 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2. HNL 2005/2006 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sibenik | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 46:24 | 46 |
| 2 | NK Pomorac | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 44:21 | 39 |
| 3 | Croatia Sesvete | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 39:30 | 35 |
| 4 | NK Novalja | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 36:29 | 33 |
| 5 | Imotski | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 27:26 | 32 |
| 6 | Dragovoljac | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 27:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Naftas Ivanic | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28:30 | 31 |
| 8 | Zadar | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 9 | NK Mosor | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:36 | 25 |
| 10 | Solin | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 37:39 | 21 |
| 11 | Segesta | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 21:41 | 20 |
| 12 | Karlovac | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18:44 | 17 |
Promotion - 2. HNL 2005/2006 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2. HNL 2005/2006 (Relegation Group)
