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NK Polana vs Grad

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2017/2018
NK Polana Logo

NK Polana

2 - 1
FT
Grad Logo

Grad

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2017/2018 game between NK Polana and Grad finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NK Polana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
NK Polana
15%
Draws
34%
Grad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NK Polana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Grad's 2.31 goals per match outpaces what NK Polana have produced (2.15).
  • Win probability leans Grad's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
NK Polana Clean Sheet 11%
Grad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Polana Grad
Matches Played 39 36
Wins 23 23
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 2.15 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2019 3. SNL - East
NK Polana vs Grad
3:2
Mar 17, 2019 3. SNL - East
NK Polana vs Grad
0:1
Sep 30, 2018 3. SNL - East
Grad vs NK Polana
2:1
May 6, 2018 3. SNL - East
NK Polana vs Grad
2:1
Oct 22, 2017 3. SNL - East
Grad vs NK Polana
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Polana 22 / 100
Grad 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Polana Grad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NK Polana's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Grad conceded in 61% of 36 recent games.

Away concern: Grad has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

NK Polana VS Grad
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Polana

(Home)
18 Nov
Aluminij
7 : 1
NK Polana
22 Oct
NK Polana
1 : 0
Zavrc
31 Oct
Bela Krajina
1 : 0
NK Polana
18 Sept
NK Polana
1 : 0
Odranci
02 Nov
NK Polana
1 : 4
Nafta
Page 1 of 8

Grad

(Away)
18 Oct
NK Carda Martjanci
1 : 0
Grad
14 Aug
Grad
1 : 4
Krsko Posavje
05 Jun
Koper
4 : 0
Grad
01 Jun
Odranci
1 : 1
Grad
26 May
Grad
3 : 0
Radgona
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beltinci 26 20 4 2 62:21 64
2 NK Polana 26 18 3 5 73:26 57
3 Odranci 26 18 3 5 62:29 57
4 Ljutomer 26 15 4 7 54:38 49
5 Hotiza 26 14 4 8 60:28 46
6 Grad 26 12 5 9 53:31 41
7 Tromejnik 26 10 6 10 44:41 36
8 Crensovci 26 10 5 11 47:54 35
9 Rakican 26 9 5 12 39:46 32
10 Turnisce 26 7 4 15 27:56 25
11 Radgona 26 6 4 16 20:57 22
12 NK Carda Martjanci 26 5 5 16 30:48 20
13 Bogojina 26 6 1 19 23:74 19
14 Slatina 26 4 3 19 25:70 15
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)