Sport Picks

Croatia

3. HNL North

Podravina Ludbreg

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

NK Polet play Podravina Ludbreg in the 3. HNL North. NK Polet are favorites here. Recently, NK Polet averaged 2.42 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Podravina Ludbreg averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. In past meetings, NK Polet won 4, Podravina Ludbreg won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 14, 2022 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.88 for NK Polet and 1.31 for Podravina Ludbreg. This points to a NK Polet double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

NK Polet

15%

Draws

26%

Podravina Ludbreg

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NK Polet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

NK Polet picked up more points recently compared to Podravina Ludbreg.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.88 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

NK Polet Clean Sheet 18%

Podravina Ludbreg Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	NK Polet	Podravina Ludbreg
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	21	9
Draws	1	7
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	2.42	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.19	2.2
Expected Goals (xG)	2.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 3. HNL North

NK Polet vs Podravina Ludbreg

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

5:1

Nov 6, 2021 3. HNL North

NK Polet vs Podravina Ludbreg

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Aug 21, 2021 3. HNL North

Podravina Ludbreg vs NK Polet

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

0:4

May 15, 2021 3. HNL North

NK Polet vs Podravina Ludbreg

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

4:1

Nov 18, 2020 3. HNL North

Podravina Ludbreg vs NK Polet

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Polet 57 / 100

Podravina Ludbreg 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

NK Polet Podravina Ludbreg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Polet Win (1)

Secondary Pick NK Polet & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.6%

1.96

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

NK Polet attacking → ← attacking Podravina Ludbreg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NK Polet scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Podravina Ludbreg let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

NK Polet went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Podravina Ludbreg lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 34

2.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	NK Polet	27	21	0	6	75:22	63
2	Mladost Zdralovi	27	19	5	3	54:18	62
3	Bjelovar	27	18	3	6	68:33	57
4	Radnik Krizevci	27	16	2	9	69:35	50
5	Medjimurje	27	13	3	11	45:47	42
6	Podravina Ludbreg	27	8	7	12	39:61	31