Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NK Smartno vs Podvinci

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kerep P.
20' Event
Blaj M.
(Penalty)
49' Event

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East game between NK Smartno and Podvinci finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NK Smartno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
NK Smartno
20%
Draws
40%
Podvinci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and NK Smartno come out ahead of Podvinci on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on NK Smartno taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
NK Smartno Clean Sheet 15%
Podvinci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Smartno Podvinci
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Podvinci
8:1
May 16, 2026 3. SNL - East
Podvinci vs NK Smartno
0:2
Oct 31, 2025 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Podvinci
0:0
May 24, 2025 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Podvinci
2:1
Nov 9, 2024 3. SNL - East
Podvinci vs NK Smartno
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NK Smartno Compare

Top Goalscorer Blaj M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Podvinci Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerep P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Smartno 66 / 100
Podvinci 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Smartno Podvinci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Smartno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

NK Smartno's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Podvinci's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: NK Smartno stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NK Smartno VS Podvinci
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Smartno

(Home)
19 Sept
NK Smartno
8 : 1
Podvinci
12 Sept
NK Carda Martjanci
7 : 1
NK Smartno
05 Sept
NK Smartno
2 : 1
Race
29 Aug
NK Smartno
3 : 0
SD Videm
22 Aug
Korotan Prevalje
0 : 0
NK Smartno
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Podvinci

(Away)
19 Sept
NK Smartno
8 : 1
Podvinci
12 Sept
Podvinci
2 : 0
Korotan Prevalje
05 Sept
NK Ormoz
0 : 2
Podvinci
30 Aug
Podvinci
4 : 1
Hajdina
22 Aug
Sampion Celje
1 : 1
Podvinci
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Odranci 6 5 1 0 19:10 16
2 NK Ormoz 6 4 1 1 14:7 13
3 Fuzinar 6 4 0 2 19:13 12
4 NK Smartno 6 3 1 2 16:13 10
5 Podvinci 6 3 1 2 11:13 10
6 NK Carda Martjanci 6 2 2 2 16:12 8
7 Ljutomer 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
8 Hajdina 6 2 2 2 11:13 8
9 Korotan Prevalje 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
10 SD Videm 6 2 1 3 11:15 7
11 Dobrovce 6 2 0 4 8:16 6
12 Sampion Celje 6 1 1 4 10:13 4
13 Limbus-Pekre 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
14 Race 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)