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NK Smartno vs Rogaska Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2025/2026
NK Smartno Logo

NK Smartno

1 - 2
FT
Rogaska Logo

Rogaska

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rogaska in this 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rogaska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
NK Smartno
15%
Draws
7%
Rogaska
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NK Smartno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to NK Smartno lately — more wins on the board than Rogaska.
  • Model gives NK Smartno a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rogaska have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
NK Smartno Clean Sheet 20%
Rogaska Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Smartno Rogaska
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.89 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.21 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 3. SNL - East
Rogaska vs NK Smartno
0:3
Oct 15, 2025 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Rogaska
1:2
Apr 22, 2017 3. SNL - North
Rogaska vs NK Smartno
7:0
Oct 2, 2016 3. SNL - North
NK Smartno vs Rogaska
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Smartno 85 / 100
Rogaska 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Smartno Rogaska

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Smartno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NK Smartno found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Rogaska conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

NK Smartno has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

NK Smartno VS Rogaska
1.75 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Smartno

(Home)
03 Oct
NK Smartno
4 : 0
Limbus-Pekre
26 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 2
NK Smartno
19 Sept
NK Smartno
8 : 1
Podvinci
12 Sept
NK Carda Martjanci
7 : 1
NK Smartno
05 Sept
NK Smartno
2 : 1
Race
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Rogaska

(Away)
23 May
NK Carda Martjanci
3 : 3
Rogaska
10 May
Ljutomer
6 : 2
Rogaska
02 May
Rogaska
0 : 1
Hajdina
24 Apr
Korotan Prevalje
3 : 0
Rogaska
18 Apr
Rogaska
0 : 3
NK Smartno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Videm 24 16 4 4 58:32 52
2 NK Brezice 24 15 5 4 43:25 50
3 Korotan Prevalje 24 11 6 7 37:34 39
4 NK Carda Martjanci 24 11 4 9 49:39 37
5 Fuzinar 24 10 6 8 50:33 36
6 Hajdina 24 10 5 9 29:31 35
7 Zavrc 24 10 3 11 31:37 33
8 NK Smartno 24 9 6 9 38:36 33
9 Podvinci 24 8 6 10 26:28 30
10 Race 24 6 10 8 28:30 28
11 Rogaska 24 6 8 10 32:36 26
12 Ljutomer 24 3 9 12 35:53 18
13 Dobrovce 24 3 4 17 22:64 13
14 Drava 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)