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NK Smartno vs Sampion Celje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NK Smartno host Sampion Celje in the 3. SNL - East. NK Smartno are expected to control this from the start. Sampion Celje have shipped 2.45 goals a game lately, while NK Smartno have conceded 1.7 and scored 1.97. Past meetings favor NK Smartno slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2025, ending 3:7. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 1.50) point toward NK Smartno. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
NK Smartno
15%
Draws
0%
Sampion Celje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NK Smartno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • NK Smartno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans NK Smartno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
NK Smartno Clean Sheet 16%
Sampion Celje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Smartno Sampion Celje
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs NK Smartno
3:7
Nov 3, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Sampion Celje
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Sampion Celje
0:2
Sep 23, 2023 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs NK Smartno
2:5
May 7, 2023 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Sampion Celje
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Smartno 84 / 100
Sampion Celje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Smartno Sampion Celje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Smartno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NK Smartno's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sampion Celje conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Sampion Celje registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NK Smartno VS Sampion Celje
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Smartno

(Home)
17 Oct
Dobrovce
3 : 4
NK Smartno
10 Oct
Fuzinar
5 : 1
NK Smartno
03 Oct
NK Smartno
4 : 0
Limbus-Pekre
26 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 2
NK Smartno
19 Sept
NK Smartno
8 : 1
Podvinci
Page 1 of 6

Sampion Celje

(Away)
17 Oct
NK Ormoz
2 : 0
Sampion Celje
10 Oct
Sampion Celje
0 : 2
Hajdina
04 Oct
SD Videm
1 : 0
Sampion Celje
27 Sept
Odranci
5 : 1
Sampion Celje
19 Sept
Sampion Celje
0 : 2
Dobrovce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Odranci 10 8 2 0 30:12 26
2 Fuzinar 10 6 1 3 32:22 19
3 NK Ormoz 10 6 1 3 23:17 19
4 NK Smartno 10 6 1 3 27:22 19
5 Hajdina 10 4 4 2 18:15 16
6 NK Carda Martjanci 10 4 3 3 23:18 15
7 SD Videm 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
8 Podvinci 10 4 2 4 15:19 14
9 Race 10 3 4 3 11:10 13
10 Korotan Prevalje 10 2 5 3 14:15 11
11 Dobrovce 10 3 0 7 15:27 9
12 Ljutomer 10 2 2 6 12:16 8
13 Limbus-Pekre 10 2 2 6 10:23 8
14 Sampion Celje 10 1 1 8 11:23 4
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