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Nkana vs Indeni

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Munalula J.
29' Event
Mbombo I. I.
69' Event
Chisala H.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024/2025 game between Nkana and Indeni finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nkana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Nkana
20%
Draws
30%
Indeni
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nkana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nkana come out ahead of Indeni on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Nkana taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Nkana Clean Sheet 68%
Indeni Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nkana Indeni
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 0.91 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2025 Super League
Nkana vs Indeni
4:1
Nov 9, 2024 Super League
Indeni vs Nkana
0:3
Feb 12, 2022 Super League
Nkana vs Indeni
1:0
Oct 2, 2021 Super League
Indeni vs Nkana
1:1
Apr 24, 2021 Super League
Nkana vs Indeni
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nkana Compare

Top Goalscorer Chisala H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mbombo I. I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Indeni Compare

Top Goalscorer Munalula J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nkana 95 / 100
Indeni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nkana Indeni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nkana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Indeni conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Nkana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Indeni has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nkana VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nkana

(Home)
23 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Nkana
17 May
Nkana
1 : 2
Muza Fc
13 May
Zesco
0 : 1
Nkana
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
30 Apr
NAPSA Stars
1 : 1
Nkana
Page 1 of 7

Indeni

(Away)
17 May
Indeni
1 : 3
Forest Rangers
03 May
Indeni
0 : 2
Atletico Lusaka
19 Apr
Red Arrows
2 : 1
Indeni
09 Apr
Indeni
1 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
02 Apr
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 0
Indeni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Power Dynamos 34 20 8 6 54:22 68
2 Zesco 34 17 12 5 34:20 63
3 Nkana 34 16 10 8 48:29 58
4 Red Arrows 34 15 11 8 32:24 56
5 Kabwe 34 13 12 9 38:27 51
6 Nkwazi 34 12 14 8 31:26 50
7 Green Buffaloes FC 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
8 Mufulira Wanderers 34 13 6 15 30:31 45
9 NAPSA Stars 34 9 17 8 24:22 44
10 Muza Fc 34 11 11 12 33:34 44
11 Nchanga Rangers 34 9 15 10 29:28 42
12 Green Eagles 34 9 14 11 32:34 41
13 Mutondo Stars 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
14 Zanaco 34 9 12 13 34:41 39
15 Atletico Lusaka 34 10 9 15 27:46 39
16 Forest Rangers 34 7 17 10 31:34 38
17 Lumwana Radiants 34 10 7 17 21:36 37
18 Indeni 34 3 6 25 20:55 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Main)