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Nkwazi vs Forest Rangers

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nkwazi play Forest Rangers in the Super League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nkwazi averaged 0.62 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. Forest Rangers averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Nkwazi won 3, Forest Rangers won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 12, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Nkwazi and 1.13 for Forest Rangers. This points to a Nkwazi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Nkwazi
35%
Draws
27%
Forest Rangers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nkwazi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Nkwazi picked up more points recently compared to Forest Rangers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Nkwazi Clean Sheet 21%
Forest Rangers Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 42%
Second Half Goal 45%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nkwazi Forest Rangers
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 12 14
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.62 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2025 Super League
Nkwazi vs Forest Rangers
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Nkwazi
0:2
Apr 20, 2024 Super League
Nkwazi vs Forest Rangers
1:1
Nov 11, 2023 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Nkwazi
1:2
Apr 15, 2023 Super League
Nkwazi vs Forest Rangers
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nkwazi 38 / 100
Forest Rangers 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nkwazi Forest Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nkwazi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +37.5%
6.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nkwazi attacking → ← attacking Forest Rangers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nkwazi scored in 46% of their last 37 games.

Forest Rangers let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Nkwazi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Forest Rangers lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 32
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Power Dynamos34208654:2268
2Zesco341712534:2063
3Nkana341610848:2958
4Red Arrows341511832:2456
5Kabwe341312938:2751
6Nkwazi341214831:2650
7Green Buffaloes FC3411121134:3545
8Mufulira Wanderers341361530:3145
9NAPSA Stars34917824:2244
10Muza Fc3411111233:3444
11Nchanga Rangers349151029:2842
12Green Eagles349141132:3441
13Mutondo Stars3410111326:3441
14Zanaco349121334:4139
15Atletico Lusaka341091527:4639
16Forest Rangers347171031:3438
17Lumwana Radiants341071721:3637
18Indeni34362520:5515