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Nkwazi vs Lumwana Radiants

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Zulu R.
65' Event
Tembo P.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024/2025 game between Nkwazi and Lumwana Radiants finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lumwana Radiants.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nkwazi
33%
Draws
27%
Lumwana Radiants
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nkwazi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Nkwazi's 0.63 goals per match outpaces what Lumwana Radiants have produced (0).
  • Model gives Nkwazi a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Nkwazi Clean Sheet 68%
Lumwana Radiants Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nkwazi Lumwana Radiants
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Super League
Nkwazi vs Lumwana Radiants
0:2
Dec 19, 2024 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs Nkwazi
1:0
May 13, 2023 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs Nkwazi
2:2
Dec 3, 2022 Super League
Nkwazi vs Lumwana Radiants
3:0
Feb 20, 2021 Super League
Nkwazi vs Lumwana Radiants
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nkwazi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Lumwana Radiants Compare

Top Goalscorer Zulu R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tembo P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nkwazi 50 / 100
Lumwana Radiants 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nkwazi Lumwana Radiants

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NKW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lumwana Radiants conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Nkwazi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Lumwana Radiants's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nkwazi VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nkwazi

(Home)
24 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Nkwazi
20 May
Muza Fc
0 : 1
Nkwazi
17 May
Nkwazi
1 : 0
Kansanshi
03 May
Nkwazi
1 : 1
Zesco
29 Apr
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 0
Nkwazi
Page 1 of 7

Lumwana Radiants

(Away)
17 May
Nkwazi
0 : 2
Lumwana Radiants
03 May
Lumwana Radiants
0 : 2
NAPSA Stars
21 Apr
Zesco
1 : 0
Lumwana Radiants
09 Apr
Lumwana Radiants
0 : 1
Mutondo Stars
02 Apr
Atletico Lusaka
1 : 2
Lumwana Radiants
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Power Dynamos34208654:2268
2Zesco341712534:2063
3Nkana341610848:2958
4Red Arrows341511832:2456
5Kabwe341312938:2751
6Nkwazi341214831:2650
7Green Buffaloes FC3411121134:3545
8Mufulira Wanderers341361530:3145
9NAPSA Stars34917824:2244
10Muza Fc3411111233:3444
11Nchanga Rangers349151029:2842
12Green Eagles349141132:3441
13Mutondo Stars3410111326:3441
14Zanaco349121334:4139
15Atletico Lusaka341091527:4639
16Forest Rangers347171031:3438
17Lumwana Radiants341071721:3637
18Indeni34362520:5515
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Main)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Main)