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Nkwazi vs Mutondo Stars

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Nkwazi host Mutondo Stars in the Super League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Nkwazi at 0.75 goals for, 0.5 against; Mutondo Stars at 0.63 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Nkwazi have won 3 to Mutondo Stars's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.56, favoring Nkwazi. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nkwazi
30%
Draws
34%
Mutondo Stars
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nkwazi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nkwazi has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mutondo Stars.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Nkwazi.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Nkwazi Clean Sheet 20%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nkwazi Mutondo Stars
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 10 14
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Super League
Nkwazi vs Mutondo Stars
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Nkwazi
1:0
Dec 22, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Nkwazi
0:1
Aug 17, 2024 Super League
Nkwazi vs Mutondo Stars
2:0
Apr 1, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Nkwazi
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nkwazi 36 / 100
Mutondo Stars 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nkwazi Mutondo Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nkwazi scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Mutondo Stars let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Nkwazi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mutondo Stars lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nkwazi VS Mutondo Stars
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%