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Noah Jurmala vs FK Liepaja

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Optibet Virsliga 2021 RTU Stadions
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Noah Jurmala play FK Liepaja in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. FK Liepaja are favorites here. Recently, Noah Jurmala averaged 0.29 goals scored and 3.29 conceded. FK Liepaja averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Noah Jurmala won 0, FK Liepaja won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 27, 2021 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Noah Jurmala and 1.30 for FK Liepaja. This points to a FK Liepaja double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Noah Jurmala
15%
Draws
72%
FK Liepaja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Liepaja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Noah Jurmala picked up more points recently compared to FK Liepaja.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Noah Jurmala Clean Sheet 19%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noah Jurmala FK Liepaja
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 1 15
Draws 1 4
Losses 26 13
Goals Scored 0.29 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.29 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2021 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Noah Jurmala
3:0
Oct 23, 2021 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Noah Jurmala
3:0
Aug 1, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs FK Liepaja
0:3
May 29, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs FK Liepaja
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noah Jurmala Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FK Liepaja Compare

Top Goalscorer Gordeychuk M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dodo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noah Jurmala 16 / 100
FK Liepaja 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noah Jurmala FK Liepaja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Liepaja Win (2)
Secondary Pick FK Liepaja & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Noah Jurmala attacking → ← attacking FK Liepaja

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noah Jurmala scored in 18% of their last 28 games.

FK Liepaja let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Noah Jurmala went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

FK Liepaja lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

4 Points in last 5 49
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1RFS28206265:2266
2Valmiera28195454:1962
3FK Liepaja28163947:2651
4Riga FC28148654:2650
5Spartaks Jurmala281121540:4135
6BFC Daugavpils28951437:5332
7FK Metta28551833:5520
8Noah Jurmala2810278:963
9Ventspils00000:00