Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Noah Jurmala vs Ventspils Prediction & H2H Stats

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2021 Ventspils Olimpiskais stadions, Ventspils
Sat, Jul 17, 2021
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Noah Jurmala host Ventspils in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Noah Jurmala have averaged 0.29 scored and 3.29 conceded recently, against Ventspils's 1.08 scored and 1.58 conceded. Past meetings favor Ventspils slightly — 0-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 29, 2021, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.20 - 1.69) back Ventspils to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Noah Jurmala
20%
Draws
80%
Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ventspils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Ventspils carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ventspils a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Noah Jurmala Clean Sheet 13%
Ventspils Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noah Jurmala Ventspils
Matches Played 28 12
Wins 1 2
Draws 1 2
Losses 26 8
Goals Scored 0.29 1.08
Goals Conceded 3.29 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs Ventspils
0:3
Jul 17, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs Ventspils
0:0
Jul 14, 2021 Virsliga
Ventspils vs Noah Jurmala
0:0
May 17, 2021 Virsliga
Ventspils vs Noah Jurmala
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noah Jurmala 10 / 100
Ventspils 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noah Jurmala Ventspils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ventspils Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ventspils has conceded goals in 83% of their last 12 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Noah Jurmala scored in 18% of their last 28 games.

Ventspils's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Noah Jurmala VS Ventspils
0 Goals Scored 0.38
3 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 13%
100% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Noah Jurmala

(Home)
06 Nov
FK Metta
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
31 Oct
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
27 Oct
FK Liepaja
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
23 Oct
FK Liepaja
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
17 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
Page 1 of 6

Ventspils

(Away)
29 Sept
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3
Ventspils
17 Jun
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 2
Ventspils
29 May
Ventspils
0 : 0
Spartaks Jurmala
23 May
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Ventspils
17 May
Ventspils
2 : 2
Noah Jurmala
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 20 6 2 65:22 66
2 Valmiera 28 19 5 4 54:19 62
3 FK Liepaja 28 16 3 9 47:26 51
4 Riga FC 28 14 8 6 54:26 50
5 Spartaks Jurmala 28 11 2 15 40:41 35
6 BFC Daugavpils 28 9 5 14 37:53 32
7 FK Metta 28 5 5 18 33:55 20
8 Noah Jurmala 28 1 0 27 8:96 3
9 Ventspils 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2022 (Main)