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Noah vs Alashkert - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Abovyan City Stadium, Abovyan
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Muradyan S.
35'
Cezar
38'
Massoumou D. J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Noah and Alashkert finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Noah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Noah
35%
Draws
23%
Alashkert
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Noah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Noah come out ahead of Alashkert on wins alone.
  • Model gives Noah a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Noah Clean Sheet 13%
Alashkert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noah Alashkert
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 22 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2.24 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Premier League
Noah vs Alashkert
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Alashkert vs Noah
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Noah vs Alashkert
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
Alashkert vs Noah
2:0
May 27, 2025 Premier League
Alashkert vs Noah
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noah Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazetic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Alashkert Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noah 75 / 100
Alashkert 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noah Alashkert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Noah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Noah scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Noah went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Alashkert has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Noah VS Alashkert
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Noah

(Home)
02 Oct
Noah
2 : 2
Dinamo Batumi
18 Sept
Noah
2 : 0
Van
12 Sept
Urartu
0 : 3
Noah
04 Sept
Noah
3 : 2
FC Gandzasar
30 Aug
Noah
4 : 0
Ararat Yerevan
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Alashkert

(Away)
10 Oct
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1
Alashkert
19 Sept
Alashkert
3 : 3
Pyunik Yerevan
13 Sept
Sardarapat
1 : 1
Alashkert
03 Sept
Alashkert
4 : 0
Van
28 Aug
Urartu
1 : 1
Alashkert
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 8 8 0 0 21:5 24
2 Ararat-Armenia 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
3 Pyunik Yerevan 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
4 Alashkert 9 4 4 1 19:7 16
5 Sardarapat 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
6 Urartu 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Shirak Gyumri 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
9 BKMA 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
10 Van 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
11 FC Gandzasar 9 1 0 8 8:22 3
12 Syunik 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)