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Noah vs Alashkert

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Abovyan City Stadium, Abovyan
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Muradyan S.
35'
Cezar
38'
Massoumou D. J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Noah and Alashkert finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Noah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Noah
20%
Draws
33%
Alashkert
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Noah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Noah come out ahead of Alashkert on wins alone.
  • Model gives Noah a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Noah Clean Sheet 20%
Alashkert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noah Alashkert
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 21 17
Draws 10 7
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.09 1.44
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Premier League
Noah vs Alashkert
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Alashkert vs Noah
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Noah vs Alashkert
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
Alashkert vs Noah
2:0
May 27, 2025 Premier League
Alashkert vs Noah
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noah Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazetic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Alashkert Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noah 40 / 100
Alashkert 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noah Alashkert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Noah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Noah scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Alashkert let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Noah remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Noah VS Alashkert
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Noah

(Home)
17 Aug
Noah
1 : 0
Alashkert
13 Aug
Sion
2 : 1
Noah
09 Aug
Shirak Gyumri
3 : 4
Noah
06 Aug
Noah
2 : 2
Sion
02 Aug
Noah
3 : 0
Syunik
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Alashkert

(Away)
17 Aug
Noah
1 : 0
Alashkert
10 Aug
Alashkert
3 : 0
BKMA
03 Aug
Alashkert
3 : 0
Ararat Yerevan
30 Jul
CFR Cluj
3 : 0
Alashkert
23 Jul
Alashkert
1 : 1
CFR Cluj
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Ararat-Armenia 4 3 1 0 9:5 10
3 Alashkert 4 3 0 1 9:1 9
4 Pyunik Yerevan 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
5 Urartu 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
6 Sardarapat 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
7 Shirak Gyumri 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
8 FC Gandzasar 4 1 0 3 6:9 3
9 Ararat Yerevan 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
10 BKMA 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
11 Syunik 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
12 Van 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)