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Noblejas vs CD Villa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Noblejas host CD Villa in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. Form suggests where the edge lies here. CD Villa have shipped 0.8 goals a game lately, while Noblejas have conceded 1.97 and scored 0.93. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.96 - 1.50) back CD Villa to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Noblejas
15%
Draws
48%
CD Villa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Villa haven't matched Noblejas's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Noblejas Clean Sheet 16%
CD Villa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noblejas CD Villa
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 4 3
Draws 7 0
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 0.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noblejas 36 / 100
CD Villa 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noblejas CD Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Villa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Noblejas scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Noblejas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: CD Villa conceded in 40% of 5 recent games.

Away concern: CD Villa has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Noblejas VS CD Villa
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.67
100% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 17%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Noblejas

(Home)
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2
Illescas
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0
Noblejas
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
Page 1 of 6

CD Villa

(Away)
04 Oct
Quintanar del Rey
0 : 2
CD Villa
27 Sept
CD Villa
2 : 0
Socuellamos
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
CD Villa
12 Sept
CD Villa
1 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 5 5 0 0 8:2 15
2 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
3 Illescas 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
7 Marchamalo 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
8 CD Tarancon 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 UD Almansa 5 2 1 2 8:5 7
10 Villacanas 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
11 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 San Clemente 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
13 Socuellamos 5 0 4 1 3:5 4
14 La Solana 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
15 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
16 CD Guadalajara B 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
17 Quintanar del Rey 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
18 Huracan de Balazote 5 0 0 5 4:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)