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Noblejas vs UD Almansa

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
El Hilali A.
51' Event
Munoz S.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Echeverria B.

AI Match Summary

Noblejas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Noblejas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Noblejas
20%
Draws
40%
UD Almansa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • UD Almansa have won more games recently than Noblejas.
  • Noblejas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Noblejas Clean Sheet 68%
UD Almansa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noblejas UD Almansa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Noblejas vs UD Almansa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noblejas Compare

Top Goalscorer El Hilali A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Echeverria B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

UD Almansa Compare

Top Goalscorer Cano A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noblejas 95 / 100
UD Almansa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noblejas UD Almansa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Noblejas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Noblejas scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

UD Almansa let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Noblejas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Noblejas VS UD Almansa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.33
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.83
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Noblejas

(Home)
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2
Illescas
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0
Noblejas
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
Page 1 of 6

UD Almansa

(Away)
04 Oct
Manchego Ciudad Real
1 : 0
UD Almansa
27 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 1
Huracan de Balazote
19 Sept
Villacanas
0 : 0
UD Almansa
13 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 0
La Solana
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 5 5 0 0 8:2 15
2 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
3 Illescas 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
7 Marchamalo 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
8 CD Tarancon 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 UD Almansa 5 2 1 2 8:5 7
10 Villacanas 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
11 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 San Clemente 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
13 Socuellamos 5 0 4 1 3:5 4
14 La Solana 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
15 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
16 CD Guadalajara B 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
17 Quintanar del Rey 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
18 Huracan de Balazote 5 0 0 5 4:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)