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Noblejas vs Villarrobledo Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Barragan J.
56' Event
Garcia R.
70' Event
Vitinho Jr

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 game between Noblejas and Villarrobledo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villarrobledo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Noblejas
30%
Draws
43%
Villarrobledo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villarrobledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Villarrobledo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Villarrobledo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Villarrobledo here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 55.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Noblejas Clean Sheet 26%
Villarrobledo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noblejas Villarrobledo
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 0.82
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Noblejas
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Noblejas vs Villarrobledo
1:2
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Noblejas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noblejas Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Villarrobledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Barragan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vitinho Jr
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noblejas 17 / 100
Villarrobledo 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noblejas Villarrobledo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarrobledo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Noblejas scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Noblejas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Villarrobledo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Noblejas VS Villarrobledo
1.29 Goals Scored 0.5
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.5
86% Over 1.5 25%
43% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Noblejas

(Home)
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2
Illescas
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0
Noblejas
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
Page 1 of 6

Villarrobledo

(Away)
03 Oct
La Solana
0 : 1
Villarrobledo
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0
Noblejas
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
06 Sept
Socuellamos
0 : 0
Villarrobledo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quintanar del Rey 34 17 13 4 31:15 64
2 Albacete B 34 17 12 5 61:31 63
3 Toledo 34 18 8 8 47:17 62
4 Villacanas 34 18 8 8 39:29 62
5 Socuellamos 34 16 9 9 47:24 57
6 Huracan de Balazote 34 14 14 6 41:28 56
7 CD Tarancon 34 15 10 9 41:31 55
8 Cazalegas 34 14 7 13 47:44 49
9 Puertollano C.F. 34 11 15 8 39:39 48
10 Villarrubia 34 12 11 11 40:38 47
11 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 12 9 13 45:37 45
12 CD Pedroneras 34 11 10 13 37:43 43
13 Marchamalo 34 12 5 17 50:47 41
14 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:49 41
15 Villarrobledo 34 10 9 15 31:49 36
16 Valdepenas 34 3 13 18 21:48 22
17 Noblejas 34 3 9 22 30:69 18
18 Manzanares 34 2 9 23 23:72 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 (Play Offs)