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Nocerina U20 vs Crotone U20

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Primavera - Group C 2011/2012
Nocerina U20 Logo

Nocerina U20

4 - 3
FT
Crotone U20 Logo

Crotone U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nocerina U20 in this Primavera - Group C 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nocerina U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nocerina U20
15%
Draws
34%
Crotone U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nocerina U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Crotone U20 at 1.44 per game, Nocerina U20 at 1.42.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Nocerina U20 taking it.
  • Regular Primavera - Group C 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Nocerina U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Crotone U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nocerina U20 Crotone U20
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 7 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.42 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.46 2.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Nocerina U20 vs Crotone U20
4:3
Sep 24, 2011 Primavera - Group C
Crotone U20 vs Nocerina U20
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nocerina U20 67 / 100
Crotone U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nocerina U20 Crotone U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nocerina U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nocerina U20's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Defensive concern: Crotone U20 conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Crotone U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Crotone U20
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nocerina U20

(Home)
21 Apr
Nocerina U20
1 : 4
Palermo U20
14 Apr
Juve Stabia U20
2 : 1
Nocerina U20
04 Apr
Nocerina U20
2 : 1
Pescara U20
31 Mar
Lazio U20
4 : 0
Nocerina U20
24 Mar
Nocerina U20
3 : 1
Gubbio U20
Page 1 of 6

Crotone U20

(Away)
20 Apr
Catania U20
5 : 1
Crotone U20
13 Apr
Crotone U20
0 : 3
Pescara U20
06 Apr
Palermo U20
5 : 0
Crotone U20
03 Apr
Crotone U20
2 : 0
Juve Stabia U20
16 Mar
Bari U20
1 : 1
Crotone U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma U20 26 22 4 0 95:23 70
2 Lazio U20 26 19 5 2 93:20 62
3 Palermo U20 26 18 4 4 60:31 58
4 Catania U20 26 15 1 10 48:39 46
5 Napoli U20 26 13 6 7 41:38 45
6 Reggina U20 26 11 7 8 36:25 40
7 Lecce U20 26 12 3 11 53:58 39
8 Ascoli U20 26 9 3 14 34:59 30
9 Juve Stabia U20 26 4 13 9 28:36 25
10 Nocerina U20 26 7 4 15 37:64 25
11 Bari U20 26 6 6 14 39:55 24
12 Pescara U20 26 4 6 16 26:56 18
13 Crotone U20 26 3 7 16 36:65 16
14 Gubbio U20 26 2 5 19 17:74 11
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Qualification)