Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Santoro G.
81'
81'
Tembe O.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nocerina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Nocerina at 1.1 per game, Budoni Calcio at 0.93.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Nocerina taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 19%
Budoni Calcio Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nocerina | Budoni Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Nocerina vs Budoni Calcio
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Budoni Calcio vs Nocerina
3:2
Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Budoni Calcio vs Nocerina
0:1
Oct 15, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Nocerina vs Budoni Calcio
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nocerina Compare
Top Goalscorer Tembe O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Budoni Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Santoro G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nocerina 42 / 100
Budoni Calcio 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nocerina Budoni Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nocerina scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.
Nocerina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Budoni Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Nocerina VS Budoni Calcio
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nocerina
(Home) 20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1 Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2 Ischia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1 Ebolitana
11 Aug
Nocerina
3 : 0 Gelbison
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2 Ischia
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1 Ebolitana
11 Aug
Nocerina
3 : 0 Gelbison
03 May
Nocerina
0 : 1 Ischia
19 Apr
Nocerina
1 : 1 Flaminia
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Budoni Calcio
(Away) 20 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 0 Anzio Calcio 1924
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1 Budoni Calcio
12 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 2 Aranova
06 Sept
Sarnese
2 : 1 Budoni Calcio
03 May
Budoni Calcio
0 : 0 Latte Dolce
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1 Budoni Calcio
06 Sept
Sarnese
2 : 1 Budoni Calcio
26 Apr
Flaminia
0 : 1 Budoni Calcio
12 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 1 Budoni Calcio
29 Mar
Cassino
0 : 0 Budoni Calcio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scafatese | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 75:23 | 87 |
| 2 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 64:46 | 60 |
| 3 | Monastir | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:44 | 53 |
| 4 | Flaminia | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53:37 | 51 |
| 5 | Albalonga | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 55:55 | 50 |
| 6 | Latte Dolce | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:49 | 48 |
| 7 | Valmontone | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:50 | 48 |
| 8 | Nocerina | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 36:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 10 | Budoni Calcio | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:32 | 45 |
| 11 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Atl. Lodigiani | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:40 | 44 |
| 13 | Ischia | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 36:52 | 43 |
| 14 | Anzio Calcio 1924 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 15 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39:58 | 36 |
| 16 | Olbia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 39:50 | 36 |
| 17 | Montespaccato | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 47:58 | 30 |
| 18 | Cassino | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 24:55 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)
