Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H game between Nocerina and Ebolitana finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nocerina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Nocerina carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Nocerina's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Nocerina here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nocerina | Ebolitana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nocerina Compare
Ebolitana Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nocerina scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.
Ebolitana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Nocerina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Nocerina
(Home)Ebolitana
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Bisceglie | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 3 | Turris | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Nocerina | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Normanna | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Martina Calcio | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 7 | Manfredonia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Gravina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 9 | Real Forio 2014 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Ebolitana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 11 | San Felice Gladiator | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 12 | Brindisi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 13 | A.C.D. Nardo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 14 | Melfi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 15 | Palmese 1914 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 16 | Francavilla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Ischia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 1 |
| 18 | Fidelis Andria | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 1 |
