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Nocerina vs Latte Dolce

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Nocerina
30%
Draws
12%
Latte Dolce
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nocerina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Latte Dolce have won more games recently than Nocerina.
  • Model gives Nocerina a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 16%
Latte Dolce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nocerina Latte Dolce
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Nocerina vs Latte Dolce
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Nocerina
0:3
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Nocerina vs Latte Dolce
2:0
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Nocerina
0:0
Apr 1, 2021 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Nocerina
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nocerina 84 / 100
Latte Dolce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nocerina Latte Dolce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nocerina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nocerina scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Latte Dolce has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Nocerina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Latte Dolce registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nocerina VS Latte Dolce
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nocerina

(Home)
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2
Nocerina
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1
Ebolitana
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Latte Dolce

(Away)
27 Sept
Aranova
1 : 1
Latte Dolce
20 Sept
Latte Dolce
1 : 2
Citta di Anagni
16 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 2
Latte Dolce
12 Sept
Latte Dolce
2 : 3
Paganese
05 Sept
Ossese
3 : 0
Latte Dolce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)