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Nocerina vs Paceco Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group I 2017/2018
Nocerina Logo

Nocerina

6 - 0
FT
Paceco Logo

Paceco

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nocerina in this Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nocerina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Nocerina
20%
Draws
7%
Paceco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nocerina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nocerina lately — more wins on the board than Paceco.
  • Win probability leans Nocerina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 20%
Paceco Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nocerina Paceco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 11 3
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.2 0.83
Goals Conceded 1 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Nocerina vs Paceco
6:0
Nov 1, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Paceco vs Nocerina
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nocerina 85 / 100
Paceco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nocerina Paceco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nocerina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paceco has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Nocerina scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Nocerina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nocerina VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nocerina

(Home)
04 Oct
Melfi
0 : 1
Nocerina
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2
Nocerina
Page 1 of 6

Paceco

(Away)
06 May
Paceco
1 : 2
Roccella
29 Apr
ACR Messina
5 : 0
Paceco
22 Apr
Paceco
1 : 2
Troina
15 Apr
AS Acireale
1 : 1
Paceco
08 Apr
Paceco
1 : 3
Gelbison
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vibonese 34 22 10 2 67:24 76
2 Troina 34 24 4 6 59:28 76
3 Nocerina 34 20 9 5 50:20 69
4 Vesuvio Ercolanese 34 19 7 8 58:33 64
5 Igea Virtus 34 18 6 10 43:25 60
6 ACR Messina 34 14 11 9 57:39 53
7 Gela 34 13 13 8 56:46 52
8 AS Acireale 34 14 9 11 47:45 51
9 Gelbison 34 11 14 9 36:42 47
10 Cittanovese 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
11 Portici 1906 34 12 6 16 35:44 42
12 Sancataldese 34 11 7 16 40:41 40
13 Roccella 34 10 8 16 41:49 38
14 US Palmese 34 11 10 13 47:54 37
15 Ebolitana 34 6 12 16 32:50 30
16 Pro Palazzolo (Inactive) 34 5 10 19 26:53 25
17 Paceco 34 6 3 25 30:74 20
18 Isola Capo Rizzuto 34 2 6 26 15:69 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 (Play Offs)