Sport Picks
Nocerina vs Palmese 1914 Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group H 
Match Events
39'
39'
Cardella F.
85'
85'
Romano A.
90'
90'
Santaniello E.
AI Match Summary
Nocerina in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nocerina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nocerina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Palmese 1914 at 1.21 per game, Nocerina at 1.09.
- Model gives Nocerina a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 68%
Palmese 1914 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nocerina | Palmese 1914 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 13 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Palmese 1914
3:0
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Nocerina vs Palmese 1914
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Palmese 1914 vs Nocerina
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Palmese 1914
3:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Palmese 1914 vs Nocerina
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nocerina Compare
Top Goalscorer Cardella F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Romano A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Palmese 1914 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nocerina 77 / 100
Palmese 1914 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nocerina Palmese 1914
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nocerina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Nocerina scored in 68% of their last 34 games.
Palmese 1914 let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Nocerina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nocerina VS Palmese 1914
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nocerina
(Home) 27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0 Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1 Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2 Ischia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1 Ebolitana
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0 Palmese 1914
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2 Ischia
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1 Ebolitana
11 Aug
Nocerina
3 : 0 Gelbison
03 May
Nocerina
0 : 1 Ischia
Page 1 of 4
Palmese 1914
(Away) 27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0 Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4 Real Normanna
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Palmese 1914
0 : 0 Turris
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1 Palmese 1914
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0 Palmese 1914
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Palmese 1914
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1 Palmese 1914
26 Apr
Scafatese
1 : 0 Palmese 1914
12 Apr
Latte Dolce
4 : 0 Palmese 1914
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Bisceglie | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 3 | Turris | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Nocerina | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Normanna | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Martina Calcio | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 7 | Manfredonia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Gravina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 9 | Real Forio 2014 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Ebolitana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 11 | San Felice Gladiator | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 12 | Brindisi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 13 | A.C.D. Nardo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 14 | Melfi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 15 | Palmese 1914 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 16 | Francavilla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Ischia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 1 |
| 18 | Fidelis Andria | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)
