Sport Picks

Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel

State Cup

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the State Cup. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Nof Hagalil at 1.46 goals for, 1.61 against; Hapoel Bnei Musmus at 1.16 for, 1.32 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.88, favoring Nof Hagalil. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Nof Hagalil

30%

Draws

23%

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nof Hagalil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Nof Hagalil have won more games recently than Hapoel Bnei Musmus.
47% — that's where the model lands on Nof Hagalil taking it.
Nof Hagalil have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Nof Hagalil Clean Sheet 20%

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nof Hagalil	Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Matches Played	28	19
Wins	9	7
Draws	11	6
Losses	8	6
Goals Scored	1.46	1.16
Goals Conceded	1.61	1.32
Expected Goals (xG)	0.94	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nof Hagalil 67 / 100

Hapoel Bnei Musmus 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nof Hagalil Hapoel Bnei Musmus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nof Hagalil Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nof Hagalil scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus let in goals in 74% of their last 19 matches.

Nof Hagalil went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Hapoel Bnei Musmus has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nof Hagalil VS Hapoel Bnei Musmus

1.13 Goals Scored 0.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 38%

38% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nof Hagalil

(Home)

08 Oct

Ironi Baka

1 : 2

Nof Hagalil

30 Sept

Nof Hagalil

2 : 3

FC Tzeirey Tamra

24 Sept

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

2 : 3

Nof Hagalil

09 Sept

Nof Hagalil

1 : 0

Hapoel Tirat Karmel

05 Sept

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

2 : 2

Nof Hagalil

Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

(Away)

09 Oct

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad

0 : 0

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

30 Sept

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

1 : 0

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik

23 Sept

MS Tira

1 : 1

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

18 Sept

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

1 : 2

Beitar Nahariya

10 Sept

Hapoel Karmiel

3 : 0

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm -

FC Shefa-Amr -

Hapoel Karmiel -

Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona -

Hapoel Yarka -

Beitar Nahariya -

Ironi Nesher -

Kiryat Haim -

Nof Hagalil -

Hapoel Bnei Musmus -

Hapoel Tayibe -

Hapoel Daliyat -

MS Tira -

Maccabi Maalot -

Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -

Tzeirey Um El Fahem -

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -

Beitar Mevaseret Zion -

Hapoel Arad -

Kfar Saba 1928 -

Hapoel Rahat FC -

Hapoel Sderot FC -

FC Dimona -

Yehuda -

Ramat Hasharon -

Bnei Eilat -

H. Herzliya -

Hapoel Azor -

Gissin Petah Tikva -

Beitar Petah Tikva -

Bnei Herzliya -

Maccabi Yavne -

TBD -

1/32-finals

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel

Nof Hagalil

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Nof Hagalil

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA