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Stadium Background

Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

70'
Abu Zer A.
76' Event
Bitan L.

AI Match Summary

Nof Hagalil in this Liga Alef North matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nof Hagalil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Nof Hagalil
20%
Draws
23%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nof Hagalil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nof Hagalil have won more games recently than Hapoel Tirat Karmel.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Nof Hagalil taking it.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nof Hagalil Clean Sheet 19%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nof Hagalil Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 9 2
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.46 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.99 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Liga Alef North
Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nof Hagalil Compare

Top Goalscorer Bitan L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.49

Hapoel Tirat Karmel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nof Hagalil 36 / 100
Hapoel Tirat Karmel 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nof Hagalil Hapoel Tirat Karmel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Tirat Karmel has conceded goals in 90% of their last 20 outings.

Nof Hagalil scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Nof Hagalil remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Hapoel Tirat Karmel's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nof Hagalil VS Hapoel Tirat Karmel
1.13 Goals Scored 0.71
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.86
100% Over 1.5 29%
50% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Nof Hagalil

(Home)
08 Oct
Ironi Baka
1 : 2
Nof Hagalil
30 Sept
Nof Hagalil
2 : 3
FC Tzeirey Tamra
24 Sept
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2 : 3
Nof Hagalil
09 Sept
Nof Hagalil
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2
Nof Hagalil
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Hapoel Tirat Karmel

(Away)
08 Oct
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
01 Oct
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
23 Sept
Ironi Baka
3 : 1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
18 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 4
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
09 Sept
Nof Hagalil
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)