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Nogueirense vs Academica Coimbra SF

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2016/2017 game between Nogueirense and Academica Coimbra SF finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Nogueirense
28%
Draws
50%
Academica Coimbra SF
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Academica Coimbra SF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nogueirense come out ahead of Academica Coimbra SF on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Academica Coimbra SF's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Nogueirense Clean Sheet 20%
Academica Coimbra SF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nogueirense Academica Coimbra SF
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 11 6
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Nogueirense vs Academica Coimbra SF
0:1
Mar 5, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Academica Coimbra SF vs Nogueirense
0:0
Jan 15, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Nogueirense vs Academica Coimbra SF
0:0
Oct 23, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Academica Coimbra SF vs Nogueirense
1:1
Apr 30, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Academica Coimbra SF vs Nogueirense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nogueirense 24 / 100
Academica Coimbra SF 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nogueirense Academica Coimbra SF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica Coimbra SF let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Academica Coimbra SF registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Nogueirense scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nogueirense VS Academica Coimbra SF
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nogueirense

(Home)
12 May
Vilafranquense
2 : 1
Nogueirense
05 May
Nogueirense
1 : 2
Alverca
28 Apr
Leiria
4 : 0
Nogueirense
20 Apr
Nogueirense
1 : 2
Anadia
14 Apr
Sertanense
1 : 2
Nogueirense
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Academica Coimbra SF

(Away)
22 Sept
Academica Coimbra SF
1 : 2
Atletico Arcos
14 May
Academica Coimbra SF
2 : 0
FC Pampilhosa
07 May
Sanjoanense
3 : 2
Academica Coimbra SF
30 Apr
Academica Coimbra SF
1 : 2
Cinfaes
23 Apr
Nogueirense
0 : 1
Academica Coimbra SF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gafanha18115228:1538
2Lusitano FCV18104436:2034
3Anadia1896333:1633
4Mortagua FC1887333:1831
5Agueda1884628:2428
6CD Gouveia1864823:2522
7GD Tourizense1863928:3121
8Nogueirense1847716:2519
9FC Pampilhosa18421215:3514
10Academica Coimbra SF1814138:397
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017 (Relegation Group)