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Nojima Stella W vs Beleza W

Japan Japan

WE League Women 2025/2026 Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Matsuda S.
64' Event
Hiwatari M.

AI Match Summary

The WE League Women 2025/2026 game between Nojima Stella W and Beleza W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beleza W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nojima Stella W
6%
Draws
4%
Beleza W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nojima Stella W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beleza W come out ahead of Nojima Stella W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nojima Stella W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular WE League Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Beleza W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Nojima Stella W Clean Sheet 15%
Beleza W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nojima Stella W Beleza W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 19
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.86 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.86 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.57 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2025 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Beleza W
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 WE League Women
Beleza W vs Nojima Stella W
5:0
Mar 8, 2025 WE League Women
Beleza W vs Nojima Stella W
2:2
Oct 19, 2024 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Beleza W
1:2
Apr 18, 2024 WE League Women
Beleza W vs Nojima Stella W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nojima Stella W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.93

Beleza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsuda S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hiwatari M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nojima Stella W 84 / 100
Beleza W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nojima Stella W Beleza W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Nojima Stella W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Beleza W conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Nojima Stella W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nojima Stella W VS Beleza W
1.86 Goals Scored 2.5
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.38
86% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nojima Stella W

(Home)
16 May
Omiya Ardija W
0 : 4
Nojima Stella W
09 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
02 May
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
26 Apr
Nojima Stella W
3 : 0
C-Osaka W
04 Apr
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
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Beleza W

(Away)
23 May
Beleza W
0 : 1
Naegohyang W
20 May
Melbourne City W
1 : 3
Beleza W
16 May
Beleza W
2 : 1
Albirex Niigata W
10 May
Urawa W
1 : 0
Beleza W
03 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
2 : 0
Beleza W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inac Kobe Leonesa W22172350:1353
2Urawa W22142646:1544
3Beleza W22132744:2341
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima W22108430:2038
5Mynavi Sendai W2297622:1934
6Albirex Niigata W2294923:2731
7Omiya Ardija W2269724:2827
8Nojima Stella W22831128:3427
9JEF United W22661016:3424
10C-Osaka W22561120:3421
11Saitama W22531420:3718
12AC Parceiro Nagano W22241616:5510
Promotion - AFC Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Main)