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Nojima Stella W vs Omiya Ardija W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
1 - 2
05:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Sasai K.
85' Event
Norimatsu R.
1' Event
Katayama Y.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nojima Stella W
15%
Draws
42%
Omiya Ardija W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nojima Stella W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Omiya Ardija W have won more games recently than Nojima Stella W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Omiya Ardija W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Omiya Ardija W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Nojima Stella W Clean Sheet 68%
Omiya Ardija W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nojima Stella W Omiya Ardija W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Nojima Stella W vs Omiya Ardija W
1:2
May 16, 2026 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Nojima Stella W
0:4
Oct 18, 2025 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Omiya Ardija W
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Nojima Stella W
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Omiya Ardija W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nojima Stella W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sasai K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Omiya Ardija W Compare

Top Goalscorer Norimatsu R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nojima Stella W 41 / 100
Omiya Ardija W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nojima Stella W Omiya Ardija W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nojima Stella W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nojima Stella W scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Omiya Ardija W conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Nojima Stella W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nojima Stella W VS Omiya Ardija W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nojima Stella W

(Home)
04 Oct
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
27 Sept
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
23 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
19 Sept
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
1 : 2
Nojima Stella W
12 Sept
Nojima Stella W
2 : 0
Mynavi Sendai W
Page 1 of 6

Omiya Ardija W

(Away)
04 Oct
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
27 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
JEF United W
23 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
Mynavi Sendai W
20 Sept
Urawa W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
13 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JEF United W 6 5 0 1 13:8 14
2 Nojima Stella W 6 3 0 3 9:8 11
3 Saitama W 5 4 0 1 9:6 10
4 Urawa W 6 3 0 3 12:10 10
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
6 Omiya Ardija W 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
7 Beleza W 5 3 0 2 11:10 9
8 C-Osaka W 5 3 0 2 9:8 9
9 Mynavi Sendai W 6 2 0 4 5:8 8
10 Albirex Niigata W 5 2 0 3 7:8 5
11 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 5 1 0 4 6:11 2
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 5 0 0 5 0:10 0
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)