Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nomme Utd U21 vs Elva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Männiku Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Burov K.
Assist: Lindmae R.
83'
Lani G.
83'
Lani G.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Nomme Utd U21 and Elva finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Nomme Utd U21
15%
Draws
31%
Elva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elva come out ahead of Nomme Utd U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nomme Utd U21's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Nomme Utd U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Elva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd U21 Elva
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Elva
0:1
May 16, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Elva
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Nomme Utd U21
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Elva Compare

Top Goalscorer Burov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd U21 49 / 100
Elva 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd U21 Elva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nomme Utd U21 scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Elva has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Nomme Utd U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd U21 VS Elva
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd U21

(Home)
25 Oct
Nomme Utd U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
09 Oct
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Levadia U21
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

Elva

(Away)
09 Oct
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 0
Elva
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 33 22 5 6 92:39 71
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 32 16 2 14 62:55 50
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 32 9 8 15 41:71 35
9 Kalju U21 32 7 4 21 38:80 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)