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Nomme Utd U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Männiku Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nomme Utd U21 play Flora Tallinn U21 in the Esiliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nomme Utd U21 averaged 2.54 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. Flora Tallinn U21 averaged 2 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Nomme Utd U21 won 0, Flora Tallinn U21 won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 30, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Nomme Utd U21 and 2.75 for Flora Tallinn U21. This points to a Nomme Utd U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Nomme Utd U21
19%
Draws
36%
Flora Tallinn U21
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Nomme Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Nomme Utd U21 picked up more points recently compared to Flora Tallinn U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 2.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd U21 Flora Tallinn U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.54 2
Goals Conceded 1.96 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Flora Tallinn U21
3:3
May 13, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ossep L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Molder K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakovenko A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sammul R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd U21 43 / 100
Flora Tallinn U21 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd U21 Flora Tallinn U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nomme Utd U21 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.4%
1.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nomme Utd U21 attacking → ← attacking Flora Tallinn U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd U21 scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Flora Tallinn U21 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Nomme Utd U21 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Flora Tallinn U21 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 41
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tartu JK Welco18133254:2342
2Viimsi JK1794428:1431
3Flora Tallinn U211793544:3430
4Elva1873831:3224
5Maardu Linnameeskond1865726:3823
6Tallinna Kalev1864835:3622
7Levadia U2118701134:3321
8Nomme Utd U211754834:4119
9Kalju U211753928:4218
10FC Tallinn1845925:4617