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Nomme Utd U21 vs Kalju U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Männiku Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Salmistu S.
Assist: Saarnak J.
67' Event
Vain B.
Assist: Beglarishvili Z.
80'
Sarapuu K.

AI Match Summary

Nomme Utd U21 in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nomme Utd U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Nomme Utd U21
15%
Draws
21%
Kalju U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nomme Utd U21 lately — more wins on the board than Kalju U21.
  • Model gives Nomme Utd U21 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd U21 Kalju U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.55 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
2:3
Aug 17, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Kalju U21
2:0
Jun 15, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
4:1
Apr 24, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Kalju U21
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Salmistu S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vain B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Kalju U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd U21 85 / 100
Kalju U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd U21 Kalju U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd U21 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Kalju U21 has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Nomme Utd U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd U21 VS Kalju U21
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd U21

(Home)
09 Oct
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Levadia U21
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
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Kalju U21

(Away)
11 Oct
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Kalju U21
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 32 16 2 14 62:55 50
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 32 7 4 21 38:80 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)